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Market Impacts Of The Sequester

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Publish date: Fri, 08 Mar 2013, 11:33 AM
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Welcome to MarketPulse, the Australian Stock Report's financial market blog. In the MarketPulse blog we aim to provide frequent updates on current events across the financial markets, including market wraps, articles in the news, opinions, reviews, financial education and finally our top tip of the week. The blog is published by the Australian Stock Report research and report editing team together with our very own "Passionate Trader", Carl Capolingua.

Sequester. No, we are not talking about a group of jurors being sequestered in order to reach a verdict.

Rather, this sequester is the latest example of US political dysfunction and describes how billions of dollars in automatic budget cuts are set to hit the world's largest economy in the next few months.

Earlier in the week we looked at the birth of the sequester and the likely impacts to the Us economy. Today we will focus our discussion on the likely reaction from the market to the Sequester.

Market impact

Given the slow-burn nature of the sequester, its effect will likely become progressively stronger in the next few months. Interestingly, the stock market has largely shrugged off the sequester, with the Dow Jones continuing to inch towards a new all-time high.

For now, investors are betting that consumers will continue to spend and businesses will continue to invest. However, sentiment may change once the impact of the sequester becomes clearer.

The US economy ground to a halt in the fourth quarter of 2012 as government spending cuts took a big bite out of GDP. Sequestration will slice off a larger chunk of government spending, and unless other sectors of the US economy make up the slack, GDP growth could be flat or even negative in the coming quarters.

Moreover, the rate of monthly job gains- which remains anaemic - could slow, putting upward pressure on the unemployment rate. Perhaps then the market will begin to take more notice of the sequester.

Market Impacts Of The Sequester is a post from: Australian Stock Report Market Pulse Blog

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